San Ramon Earthquake Forecast

Status Check:
Last Detected Event: 2026-02-06 14:45:51 PST
Current System Time: 2026-02-07 01:58:01 PST
Time Elapsed: 11.20 hours

Short-Term Forecast (Hours)

Threshold	4 Hours	8 Hours	12 Hours	24 Hours	48 Hours
Mag ≥ 2	2.0%	7.0%	10.0%	21.5%	37.5%
Mag ≥ 3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	2.0%
Mag ≥ 4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Mag ≥ 5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Long-Term Forecast (Days)

Threshold	4 Days	7 Days	14 Days	30 Days
Mag ≥ 2	55.0%	66.5%	77.0%	84.5%
Mag ≥ 3	9.5%	18.0%	28.0%	34.5%
Mag ≥ 4	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%
Mag ≥ 5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Live Risk Forecast (Last 48 Hours)

Long-Term Risk Forecast (14 Days)

Recent Event Locations (Last 48 Hours)

Historical Activity (Time Series)

Historical Event Locations